The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: May Rally and Lark Davis’s Take on Market Top Signals appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
Bitcoin continues to capture investor attention as it navigates a critical phase in its price cycle. Entrepreneur and well-known Crypto Analyst Lark Davis recently shared his perspective on whether the market is nearing its peak or still has room to run.
Bitcoin’s May Performance and Current Price Overview
Starting May at approximately $94,146, Bitcoin’s price surged impressively throughout the month. By May 22, the cryptocurrency reached a new high near $111,970, marking an 18.66% increase within just three weeks. Although the market experienced a slight correction of about 3.9% on May 23, bullish momentum quickly resumed, pushing the price back up by over 1.5% the following day.
As of now, Bitcoin’s price stands at around $108,789—roughly 2.8% below its all-time high. This steady price action reflects ongoing investor interest and a cautiously optimistic market sentiment.
Insights from Lark Davis on Market Top Signals
In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Lark Davis challenged the common narrative that Bitcoin’s rally is at its end. He referenced the Net Realised Profit and Loss (NPL) indicator to support his view that the market still holds significant upside potential.
The NPL indicator tracks the average paper profit across Bitcoin holders. When the value is strongly positive, it often signals that many investors have realized profits, sometimes preceding market corrections. However, Davis noted that this indicator is not currently at peak levels, suggesting that widespread profit-taking has yet to occur.
This analysis implies that while Bitcoin has rallied significantly, many holders are still in profit but have not rushed to sell, a condition that can support further price appreciation.

.article-inside-link {
margin-left: 0 !important;
border: 1px solid #0052CC4D;
border-left: 0;
border-right: 0;
padding: 10px 0;
text-align: left;
}
.entry ul.article-inside-link li {
font-size: 14px;
line-height: 21px;
font-weight: 600;
list-style-type: none;
margin-bottom: 0;
display: inline-block;
}
.entry ul.article-inside-link li:last-child {
display: none;
}
- Also Read :
- Robert Kiyosaki Warns of ‘Greater Depression’, Predicts Bitcoin to $1 Million
- ,
Understanding the Net Unrealised Profit/Loss Indicator
To clarify, the Net Unrealised Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric measures how much profit or loss investors hold on paper without having sold. A positive reading indicates collective profitability among holders, while a negative value points to unrealized losses.
On May 5, the NUPL was at 52.78%. When Bitcoin reached its peak price recently, the indicator rose to approximately 58.7%. These values, though elevated, have not yet reached extreme levels historically associated with market tops. This aligns with Davis’s view that the rally may still have room to grow before a potential correction.
Balanced Perspective and Market Caution
While Lark Davis provides an optimistic take, it is important for investors to maintain a balanced perspective. Cryptocurrency markets remain volatile and subject to rapid changes based on external factors such as regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and broader market sentiment.
Monitoring key technical indicators like the NPL and NUPL, alongside fundamental factors, can offer valuable insights for making informed investment decisions.
.article_register_shortcode {
padding: 18px 24px;
border-radius: 8px;
display: flex;
align-items: center;
margin: 6px 0 22px;
border: 1px solid #0052CC4D;
background: linear-gradient(90deg, rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1) 0%, rgba(0, 82, 204, 0.1) 100%);
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body h5 {
color: #000000;
font-weight: 600;
font-size: 20px;
line-height: 22px;
text-align:left;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body h5 span {
color: #0052CC;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body p {
font-weight: 400;
font-size: 14px;
line-height: 22px;
color: #171717B2;
margin-top: 4px;
text-align:left;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body{
padding-right: 14px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-button a {
float: right;
}
.article_register_shortcode .primary-button img{
vertical-align: middle;
width: 20px;
margin: 0;
display: inline-block;
}
@media (min-width: 581px) and (max-width: 991px) {
.article_register_shortcode .media-body p {
margin-bottom: 0;
}
}
@media (max-width: 580px) {
.article_register_shortcode {
display: block;
padding: 20px;
}
.article_register_shortcode img {
max-width: 50px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body h5 {
font-size: 16px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body {
margin-left: 0px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body p {
font-size: 13px;
line-height: 20px;
margin-top: 6px;
margin-bottom: 14px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-button a {
float: unset;
}
.article_register_shortcode .secondary-button {
margin-bottom: 0;
}
}
Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!
Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.
.subscription-options li {
display: none;
}
.research-report-subscribe{
background-color: #0052CC;
padding: 12px 20px;
border-radius: 8px;
color: #fff;
font-weight: 500;
font-size: 14px;
width: 96%;
}
.research-report-subscribe img{
vertical-align: sub;
margin-right: 2px;
}
var templateIds = “6”;
var listOfSubscribed = [];
function subscribed_popupmodal(template_id) {
var templateId = ‘6’;
getAllSubscriberCategoryList([templateId]);
var subcribemodal = window.parent.document.getElementById(‘subscribe-modal-design’);
if (subcribemodal) {
var modalContent = `
Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!
Stay informed and gain the edge you need to navigate the crypto world. Select your subscription now
`;
subcribemodal.innerHTML = modalContent;
}
subscribe_unsubscribe_status(template_id);
//getAllSubscriberCategoryList(template_id);
}
function toggleSubscription(subscription, template_id) {
var subscriptionCheckbox = document.getElementById(subscription + ‘_’ + template_id);
var li = document.getElementById(subscription + ‘Selected_’ + template_id);
if (subscriptionCheckbox.checked) {
li.classList.add(‘active’);
} else {
li.classList.remove(‘active’);
}
}
function getAllSubscriberCategoryList(getcategoryId) {
jQuery.ajax({
url: ‘https://coinpedia.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php’,
type: ‘GET’,
data: {
action: ‘subscribe_api_ajax_request’,
apiurl: ‘/app/email_newsletter/list’,
},
success: function(response) {
var result = JSON.parse(response.message);
if (result.status === true) {
var idstosubscribed = []
// Populate listOfSubscribed with subscribed category IDs
result.message.forEach(listofcategory => {
if (listofcategory.subscribe_status === 1) {
if (!listOfSubscribed.includes(listofcategory._id)) {
listOfSubscribed.push(listofcategory._id);
}
if (!idstosubscribed.includes(listofcategory.news_cp_category_row_id)) {
idstosubscribed.push(listofcategory.news_cp_category_row_id);
}
}
});
idstosubscribed.forEach(id => {
var subscribeButton = document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + id);
var unsubscribeButton = document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + id);
if (subscribeButton && unsubscribeButton) {
subscribeButton.style.display = ‘none’;
unsubscribeButton.style.display = ‘block’;
var showDownloadReport = document.getElementById(‘download_report’);
if (showDownloadReport) {
showDownloadReport.style.display = ‘block’;
}
}
});
}
},
error: function(xhr, status, error) {
console.error(‘Error:’, error);
}
});
}
function subscribe_unsubscribe_status(getcategoryId) {
var elementTounsubscribe = parent.document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + getcategoryId);
var elementTosubscribe = parent.document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + getcategoryId);
jQuery.ajax({
url: ‘https://coinpedia.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php’,
type: ‘POST’,
data: {
action: ‘subscribe_api_ajax_request’,
apiurl: ‘/app/email_newsletter/list?category_row_id=’ + getcategoryId,
},
success: function(response) {
var result = JSON.parse(response.message);
if (result.status === true) {
parent.jQuery(‘.skeliton-loader-block’).hide();
var hasSubscribeStatusOne = false;
result.message.forEach(subscribeStatus => {
if (listOfSubscribed.includes(subscribeStatus._id) && subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
hasSubscribeStatusOne = true;
}
if (subscribeStatus.notification_type === 3) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘monthlySelected_’ + getcategoryId).style.display = ‘block’;
parent.document.getElementById(‘monthly_’ + getcategoryId).setAttribute(‘data-id’, subscribeStatus._id);
if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘monthly_’ + getcategoryId).checked = true;
}
} else if (subscribeStatus.notification_type === 2) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘weeklySelected_’ + getcategoryId).style.display = ‘block’;
parent.document.getElementById(‘weekly_’ + getcategoryId).setAttribute(‘data-id’, subscribeStatus._id);
if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘weekly_’ + getcategoryId).checked = true;
}
} else if (subscribeStatus.notification_type === 1) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘dailySelected_’ + getcategoryId).style.display = ‘block’;
parent.document.getElementById(‘daily_’ + getcategoryId).setAttribute(‘data-id’, subscribeStatus._id);
if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘daily_’ + getcategoryId).checked = true;
}
}
if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
listOfSubscribed.push(subscribeStatus._id);
}
});
if (hasSubscribeStatusOne) {
elementTosubscribe.style.display = ‘none’;
elementTounsubscribe.style.display = ‘block’;
} else {
elementTosubscribe.style.display = ‘block’;
elementTounsubscribe.style.display = ‘none’;
}
}
},
error: function(xhr, status, error) {
console.error(‘Error:’, error);
}
});
}
function logSelectedSubscriptions(categoryid) {
var unsubscribemodal = document.querySelector(‘.unsubscribed-popup-modal .modal’);
var subscribedmodal = document.querySelector(‘.subscribed-popup-modal .modal’);
unsubscribemodal.innerHTML=”;
subscribedmodal.innerHTML=”;
var selectedSubscriptions = [];
var storeCheckedId = [];
var checkboxes = document.querySelectorAll(‘#subscription-options-‘ + categoryid + ‘ input[type=”checkbox”]’);
var errorMessage = document.getElementById(‘error-message-select’);
// Use a Set to handle unique data-ids
var uniqueSubscribedIds = new Set(listOfSubscribed);
checkboxes.forEach(function(checkbox) {
var dataId = parseInt(checkbox.getAttribute(‘data-id’));
if (checkbox.checked) {
selectedSubscriptions.push(checkbox.id);
storeCheckedId.push(dataId);
} else {
uniqueSubscribedIds.delete(dataId); // Remove unchecked data-id
}
});
// Update listOfSubscribed with unique values
listOfSubscribed = Array.from(uniqueSubscribedIds);
var selectedSubscriptionsString = selectedSubscriptions.join(‘, ‘);
var concatinateSubscribeId = […new Set(storeCheckedId.concat(listOfSubscribed))];
var categoryData = {
‘subscribed_categories’: concatinateSubscribeId
};
var requestSubscriberData = {
action: ‘handle_dynamic_api_request_with_headers’,
security: ‘1a5f4772f7’,
endpoint: ‘/app/email_newsletter/update_categories’,
token: ”,
data: categoryData
};
jQuery.ajax({
url: ‘https://coinpedia.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php’,
type: ‘POST’,
data: requestSubscriberData,
beforeSend: function(xhr) {
xhr.setRequestHeader(‘X-Requested-With’, ‘XMLHttpRequest’);
},
success: function(response) {
try {
response = response.data;
if (storeCheckedId.length === 0) {
var unsubcribedPopUpmodal =
`

You’ve Unsubscribed Successfully
We’re sorry to see you go! Your subscription has been canceled. If you change your mind, you can re-subscribe anytime. Thank you for being part of our community!
`;
unsubscribemodal.innerHTML = unsubcribedPopUpmodal;
document.querySelector(‘#subscribe-modal-design .modal’).style.display = ‘none’;
unsubscribemodal.style.display = ‘block’;
unsubscribemodal.classList.remove(‘hide’);
unsubscribemodal.classList.add(‘show’);
document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘block’;
document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘none’;
var showDownloadReport = document.getElementById(‘download_report’);
if (showDownloadReport) {
showDownloadReport.style.display = ‘none’;
}
} else {
var subscribedPopupModal =
`

Thank you for subscribing!
Thank you for subscribing to our crypto and blockchain newsletter! You’ll now receive the latest news, insights, and updates straight to your inbox. Welcome to our community!
`;
let selectedSubscriptionsArray = selectedSubscriptionsString.split(‘,’);
let subscribedCategories = selectedSubscriptionsArray.map(subscription => subscription.split(‘_’)[0]);
let subscribedCategoriesString = subscribedCategories.join(‘, ‘);
subscribedmodal.innerHTML = subscribedPopupModal;
if (document.getElementById(‘selectidname’)) {
document.getElementById(‘selectidname’).textContent = subscribedCategoriesString;
}
document.querySelector(‘#subscribe-modal-design .modal’).style.display = ‘none’;
subscribedmodal.style.display = ‘block’;
subscribedmodal.classList.remove(‘hide’);
subscribedmodal.classList.add(‘show’);
document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘none’;
document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘block’;
var showDownloadReport = document.getElementById(‘download_report’);
if (showDownloadReport) {
showDownloadReport.style.display = ‘block’;
}
}
} catch (e) {
console.error(‘Error parsing response:’, e);
}
},
});
}
function closeModal(template_id) {
var modalId = template_id;
var modal = document.querySelector(‘#’ + modalId); // Using querySelector to find the modal
if (modal) {
modal.classList.add(‘hide’);
modal.classList.remove(‘show’);
setTimeout(function() {
modal.style.display = ‘none’;
}, 500);
} else {
console.warn(‘Modal not found:’, modalId);
}
}
function closeunsubscribemodal() {
var unsubscribemodal = document.querySelector(‘.unsubscribed-popup-modal .modal’);
if (unsubscribemodal) {
unsubscribemodal.classList.add(‘hide’);
unsubscribemodal.classList.remove(‘show’);
}
setTimeout(function() {
unsubscribemodal.style.display = ‘none’;
}, 500);
}
function closesubscribemodal() {
var subscribedmodal = document.querySelector(‘.subscribed-popup-modal .modal’);
setTimeout(function() {
subscribedmodal.style.display = ‘none’;
}, 500);
if (subscribedmodal) {
subscribedmodal.classList.add(‘hide’);
subscribedmodal.classList.remove(‘show’);
}
}
function withoutLoginClicked(withoutlogin_id) {
localStorage.setItem(‘subscribe_without_Login’, ‘true’);
localStorage.setItem(‘subscribe_clicked_id’, withoutlogin_id);
}
document.addEventListener(‘DOMContentLoaded’, function() {
const subscribewithoutData = localStorage.getItem(‘subscribe_without_Login’);
const subscribe_clicked_cat_id = localStorage.getItem(‘subscribe_clicked_id’);
// Function to get cookies
function getCookie(name) {
let value = “; ” + document.cookie;
let parts = value.split(“; ” + name + “=”);
if (parts.length == 2) return parts.pop().split(“;”).shift();
}
// Get user token from cookies
const userToken = getCookie(‘user_token’);
if (subscribewithoutData === ‘true’ && userToken) {
// Call the modal function with the category ID
subscribed_popupmodal(subscribe_clicked_cat_id);
// Remove the flag and category ID from localStorage
localStorage.removeItem(‘subscribe_without_Login’);
localStorage.removeItem(‘subscribe_clicked_id’);
}
});
/************************** update susbcriber content **************************** */
function initializeSubscriptionButton() {
var initialListItems = document.querySelectorAll(‘.subscription-options input[type=”checkbox”]’);
initialListItems.forEach(function(item) {
console.log(item.checked, ‘Initial Checkbox checked status’);
});
var listItems = document.querySelectorAll(‘.subscription-options li’);
if (listItems.length === 0) return;
var anyActive = false;
listItems.forEach(function(item) {
var checkbox = item.querySelector(‘input[type=”checkbox”]’);
if (checkbox) {
if (checkbox.checked) {
item.classList.add(‘active’);
anyActive = true; // Set anyActive to true
} else {
item.classList.remove(‘active’); // Remove ‘active’ class if checkbox is unchecked
}
}
});
}
function updateButtonText(anyActive) {
var subscribeButtonSpan = document.querySelector(‘.subscribe-submit .changeBtnText’);
if (subscribeButtonSpan) {
if (anyActive) {
subscribeButtonSpan.textContent=”Subscribe Now”;
} else {
subscribeButtonSpan.textContent=”Unsubscribe”;
}
}
}
function updateSubscriptionButton() {
var listItems = document.querySelectorAll(‘.subscription-options li’);
if (listItems.length === 0) return;
var anyActive = false;
listItems.forEach(function(item) {
var checkbox = item.querySelector(‘input[type=”checkbox”]’);
if (checkbox) {
if (checkbox.checked) {
item.classList.add(‘active’);
anyActive = true; // Set anyActive to true
} else {
item.classList.remove(‘active’); // Remove ‘active’ class if checkbox is unchecked
}
}
});
// Update the button text based on whether any list item has the ‘active’ class
updateButtonText(anyActive);
}
document.addEventListener(‘click’, function(event) {
var clickedItem = event.target.closest(‘.subscription-options li’);
if (clickedItem) {
var checkbox = clickedItem.querySelector(‘input[type=”checkbox”]’);
if (checkbox) {
checkbox.checked = !checkbox.checked;
updateSubscriptionButton();
}
}
});
FAQs
The NPL indicator tracks overall profit realized by Bitcoin holders; high positive values often signal potential market corrections.
NUPL indicates collective paper profits/losses. Bitcoin’s NUPL is elevated but not at historical extreme levels for a market top.
Bitcoin is highly volatile. While current sentiment is cautiously optimistic, invest only what you can afford to lose and consider long-term goals.
Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by year-end 2025, driven by ETF inflows and supply tightening, though predictions vary. Sources
Kaynak : CoinPedia